Showing posts with label chrysler. Show all posts
Showing posts with label chrysler. Show all posts

Breaking Down The Bailout


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I thought since Wall Street is so tagged on these bailouts, I would give a quick update on the status of the Auto Bailout. Well, it is looking that the auto bailout is inevitable and should probably be reaching an agreement this week. Horrific unemployment numbers announced Friday seemed to help disagreeing lawmakers come together to find a way to put money in the auto maker's pockets. After looking at the numbers, the consequence of not passing the bill would force bankruptcy, which then could lead to the loss of up to 500,000 jobs just for November (3 million jobs in the long run). This would cause utter disaster in the market.

The terms of the bailout will most likely be a $15-$17 million bridge loan until March to help get their business back on track. This bridge loan sounds like exactly what it's called. A bridge to survival until Obama is in office and a much more lofty bailout can be drawn up, most likely costing over $100 billion.

GM said they need $4 billion by the end of the year to avoid bankruptcy. Chrysler needs 7$ billion. Ford, being in better financial condition, needs only $9 billion as a line of credit for their "emergency fund." So congress has officially opened the bailout door to industries who are struggling. I see the absolute necessity to bail out the banks, having access to capital lending which I believe is the most critical part of our economy. However, by opening the door to an outside sector, gives all sectors reason to come knocking for our taxpaying dollars. Who's next? Airlines? Farmers? Miners? It's not that I don't feel remorse for some of the failures of our sectors, I just feel we can't keep bailing out anyone who is feeling financial pressures, because during this recession, there will be several. Plus, bankruptcy can be a good thing for some of these businesses. It allows them to restructure their liabilities, free them from debt, and start over. It has been very successful for Delta and other companies.

At any case, they are predicting the bailout to be approved this week. One of the big factors that helped settle the loan problem, was to decide where it would come from. It was agreed to take the money out of the energy fund, as an incentive to make more fuel efficient cars. So I would expect a pretty strong rally the day it passes, even though this has been expected for quite some time. Anytime bailouts have been approved, it has boosted the market for a day or two. However, I still don't feel this is the answer for them. Unless we keep paying their bills for the next 2-5 years, their liabilities will far surpass their revenues.

So congratulations, you all have officially invested into the auto industry. I was hoping maybe we could all be sent a new Taurus or F350 for our generous donation. In any case, this week should be an interesting one. Have a good evening and we will see you tomorrow.

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